Stormrake - Insights #CeasefireStormrake - Insights #Ceasefirehttps://www.stormrake.com/blogs/tag/ceasefireWed, 08 Apr 2026 19:44:03 +1000http://zoho.com/sites/<![CDATA[Ceasefire Relief Lifts Markets as Risk Sentiment Rotates Back In]]>https://www.stormrake.com/blogs/post/ceasefire-relief-lifts-markets-as-risk-sentiment-rotates-back-inMarkets rally on ceasefire optimism as capital rotates out of safe havens and into risk assets, setting the stage for another Bitcoin all time high...]]>
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Markets have continued to push higher following the ceasefire, but the resolution has not come without criticism, particularly from Donald Trump. The US President voiced his disapproval of both Israel and Iran in his usual blunt style.

The ceasefire agreement gave each side a window to de-escalate. Israel had until the 24th hour and Iran until the 12th hour to halt attacks. In theory, this meant a full stop to hostilities beyond those deadlines. However, despite agreeing to the terms, both parties continued to launch strikes. The situation escalated to the point where Trump took to Truth Social, urging Israel: “DO NOT DROP THOSE BOMBS,” even telling them to turn their planes around, stating that any further strike would be a violation. He later suggested they would conduct a “friendly plane wave” to Iran.

But his dissatisfaction did not stop there. In a short interview clip now circulating online, Trump summed up the chaos in his own words:
‘They don’t know what the … they’re doing'.

A colourful summary, but regardless of opinions, the war now appears to be behind us and the markets are responding accordingly. The S&P500 just closed its strongest day since 21 February and is now less than 1% away from its all-time high. The Nasdaq is even closer, sitting just 0.30% from the record it set earlier this year.

While Bitcoin has not matched the momentum of equities, it remains green and bullish. It is up nearly 8% from the lows seen just two days ago, though still underperforming the S&P and Nasdaq over the last 24 hours.

The broader market has clearly moved away from the risk-off sentiment. Gold is down over 3% in just over a week and crude oil has plunged to $65, losing 15% in two days. That kind of price action reflects a major capital rotation. Typically, when transitioning back into a risk-on environment, money first flows from defensive assets into traditional risk assets like equities, before rotating into more ‘speculative’ markets such as Bitcoin and altcoins.

We have already seen the first phase of this rotation, with capital moving out of gold and oil and into the S&P and Nasdaq. If that trend continues, it is only a matter of time before capital flows into the crypto space, pushing Bitcoin back toward all-time highs and dragging altcoins along with it.

Stormrake Spotlight: Hyperliquid (HYPE) ($37.34)

Despite a green day across most of the crypto market, HYPE pulled back 2.22%. This is a relatively healthy correction, especially after a three-day rally of nearly 25%. A normal retracement should be welcomed here, particularly one that holds bullish structure.

Price remains above the 21EMA, a key signal that the trend is still in favour of the bulls. If this momentum continues, we can expect a move toward the CPR resistance at $42 in the coming week.

BTC/USD Key Levels and Price Action:

Bitcoin is back above $106K and consolidating. It was a relatively slow session by Bitcoin’s standards, rising just 0.6%, but price action remains constructive. The next area of interest sits at $109.5K, where resistance is expected. If this level breaks, the path toward all-time highs reopens.

BTC Total ETF Flows for 24 Jun: $ + 57.3 million

(ETF flow data is sourced from https://farside.co.uk/btc/ and reflects figures at the time of writing.)
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*All prices are denominated in USD unless stated otherwise*

Written by Alexandar Artis

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The information in this newsletter is general only. It should not be taken as constituting professional advice from the author - Stormrake PTY LTD.
Stormrake is not a financial adviser and does not provide financial product advice. You should consider seeking independent legal, financial, taxation or other advice to check how the information relates to your unique circumstances. Stormrake is not liable for any loss caused, whether due to negligence or otherwise arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided directly or indirectly, by this newsletter.
 

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All statements made in this newsletter are made in good faith and we believe they are accurate and reliable. Stormrake does not give any warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of information that is contained here, except insofar as any liability under statute cannot be excluded. Stormrake, its directors, employees and their representatives do not accept any liability for any error or omission in this newsletter or for any resulting loss or damage suffered by the recipient or any other person. Unless otherwise specified, copyright of information provided in this newsletter is owned by Stormrake. You may not alter or modify this information in any way, including the removal of this copyright notice.

Copyright © 2024 Stormrake Pty Ltd, All rights reserved
]]>Wed, 25 Jun 2025 16:23:07 +1000<![CDATA['12 Day War' Over: Bulls Regain Control]]>https://www.stormrake.com/blogs/post/12-day-war-over-bulls-regain-controlRisk assets rally as Trump announces Israel-Iran ceasefire, easing geopolitical tensions]]>
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After a weekend of strikes and escalating tension, the US is now directly involved in the Israel-Iran conflict. But this morning, we wake up to US President Trump announcing a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, dubbing the standoff the ‘12 Day War’. The ceasefire is expected to take effect within the next 24 hours.

While Iran did launch missiles at a US base in Qatar prior to the announcement, no injuries were reported and only one of the nineteen missiles actually hit the base.

Despite initial claims that the ceasefire was fake, a senior Iranian official has confirmed the agreement, mediated by Qatar, is legitimate and in place.

In hindsight, the market’s hesitation last week was spot on. This brief period of conflict didn’t lead to a broader breakdown, and while gold and oil rallied, they didn’t break out far enough to suggest a prolonged war was on the cards. Meanwhile, Bitcoin, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq all saw relatively shallow pullbacks considering the geopolitical weight.

Risk-on sentiment is back in full force. Traditional indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have essentially regained all ground lost over the past couple of weeks, and the crypto market is even greener.
Bitcoin is up nearly 5%, reclaiming $105K and erasing its entire weekend drawdown. Many altcoins have printed double-digit gains in the last 24 hours, fully reversing losses from the US-Iran exchange.

Investor confidence is back. Sentiment is rising, up nearly 20 points, pushing the BTC Fear and Greed Index from neutral into greed territory. It's clear in the charts: the war risk is behind us, risk-on assets are rallying again, and bulls are firmly in control. With no major distractions ahead, Bitcoin looks set to retest its all-time high in the coming weeks. Once again, this period proves that times of war often provide opportunities to accumulate. And while markets have bounced, prices are still lower than they were a week ago. Momentum is strong and firmly with the bulls. It’s not too late to average into a Bitcoin position or accumulate undervalued altcoins.

Stormrake Spotlight: Hyperliquid (HYPE) ($38.19)

HYPE continues its strong recovery, up over 6% in the last 24 hours and now nearly 25% off its Saturday low. The key demand zone we highlighted has held up well. Despite a lower wick printing a new low, the daily candle never closed below support, which is a bullish sign. If momentum continues, a move back to $42 looks likely, with that level representing CPR resistance from its prior consolidation.

BTC/USD Key Levels and Price Action:

Bitcoin is back in charge. After briefly retesting $100K overnight, BTC printed five out of seven strong green candles, bouncing nearly 6% from the overnight low. It has now reclaimed the CPR range, all major moving averages, and the key $104K resistance. Bulls have control of both structure and momentum, with a clear runway to $109K and a potential retest of the all-time high over the coming weeks.

BTC Total ETF Flows for 23 Jun: $ + 27.3 million

(ETF flow data is sourced from https://farside.co.uk/btc/ and reflects figures at the time of writing.)
To receive the Morning Note in your inbox, subscribe here: https://stormrake.substack.com/

*All prices are denominated in USD unless stated otherwise*

Written by Alexandar Artis

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No Advice Warning 

The information in this newsletter is general only. It should not be taken as constituting professional advice from the author - Stormrake PTY LTD.
Stormrake is not a financial adviser and does not provide financial product advice. You should consider seeking independent legal, financial, taxation or other advice to check how the information relates to your unique circumstances. Stormrake is not liable for any loss caused, whether due to negligence or otherwise arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided directly or indirectly, by this newsletter.
 

Disclaimer 

All statements made in this newsletter are made in good faith and we believe they are accurate and reliable. Stormrake does not give any warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of information that is contained here, except insofar as any liability under statute cannot be excluded. Stormrake, its directors, employees and their representatives do not accept any liability for any error or omission in this newsletter or for any resulting loss or damage suffered by the recipient or any other person. Unless otherwise specified, copyright of information provided in this newsletter is owned by Stormrake. You may not alter or modify this information in any way, including the removal of this copyright notice.

Copyright © 2024 Stormrake Pty Ltd, All rights reserved
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