Stormrake - Insights #Interest RateStormrake - Insights #Interest Ratehttps://www.stormrake.com/blogs/tag/interest-rateThu, 16 Apr 2026 03:42:59 +1000http://zoho.com/sites/<![CDATA[Bitcoin Closes an Eventful January in the Green]]>https://www.stormrake.com/blogs/post/Bitcoin-Closes-an-Eventful-January-in-the-Green
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An event-packed January comes to an end, and Bitcoin is set to close positive once more, up 11%. This month saw Bitcoin trade back under $90K for the first time since mid-November, new all-time highs, and price catalyst events that seemed to emerge every few days. From bearish events such as the US DOJ's clearance to sell seized assets, the lack of any mention of crypto in Trump’s inauguration speech, and DeepSeek AI posing a threat to US AI stocks, to bullish catalysts like a dovish tone from Powell and a pro-crypto executive order, the market experienced a constant push and pull.

For those who capitalised on the volatility and corrections that Bitcoin provided throughout the month, the rewards have already been significant—with the potential for much more. This serves as a strong reminder to take advantage of corrections and buy when the rest of the market is fearful.

The past 24 hours have provided a strong finish for the overall crypto market, with about 95% of the top 100 projects posting positive returns, the majority gaining at least 5% or more.

Looking ahead to February, we anticipate less volatility in terms of key catalyst events, which could ultimately work in Bitcoin’s favor. A distraction-free month may allow natural price action to take the lead. Bitcoin remains in a bullish structure and trend on every timeframe, making February look promising for the bulls.

Stormrake Spotlight: Ethereum (ETH) ($3,250)

Ethereum has shown positive price action after spending several days within the accumulation zone. ETH is now up over 5% from yesterday’s low, showing promising signs as it sets a higher low. Currently, ETH is battling the 21 EMA and is soon to test the 55 EMA resistance levels. To continue its move higher toward the first target, ETH needs to clear both of these moving averages.

BTC/USD Key Levels and Price Action:

Bitcoin has successfully flipped the key $104K resistance into support, re-establishing bullish structure and momentum. A retest of the $104K level seems likely—if it holds, we can expect an upward move that could see Bitcoin retest its all-time high in early February.

BTC Total ETF Flows for 30 Jan: $ +23.3 million

(ETF flow data is sourced from https://farside.co.uk/btc/ and reflects figures at the time of writing.)

ETH/USD Key Levels and Price Action:

Much like Bitcoin, Ethereum has flipped its key resistance into support, shifting the momentum and structure back to the bulls. ETH has also cleared all moving averages, which are clustered around the $3,207 level. This region will be key for ETH to hold in order to trade higher and target the next level at $3,370.

ETH Total ETF Flows for 30 Jan: $ - 27.5 million

(ETF flow data is sourced from https://farside.co.uk/eth/ and reflects figures at the time of writing.)
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*All prices are denominated in USD unless stated otherwise*

Written by Alexandar Artis

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No Advice Warning 

The information in this newsletter is general only. It should not be taken as constituting professional advice from the author - Stormrake PTY LTD.
Stormrake is not a financial adviser and does not provide financial product advice. You should consider seeking independent legal, financial, taxation or other advice to check how the information relates to your unique circumstances. Stormrake is not liable for any loss caused, whether due to negligence or otherwise arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided directly or indirectly, by this newsletter.
 

Disclaimer 

All statements made in this newsletter are made in good faith and we believe they are accurate and reliable. Stormrake does not give any warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of information that is contained here, except insofar as any liability under statute cannot be excluded. Stormrake, its directors, employees and their representatives do not accept any liability for any error or omission in this newsletter or for any resulting loss or damage suffered by the recipient or any other person. Unless otherwise specified, copyright of information provided in this newsletter is owned by Stormrake. You may not alter or modify this information in any way, including the removal of this copyright notice.

Copyright © 2024 Stormrake Pty Ltd, All rights reserved
]]>Fri, 31 Jan 2025 18:25:20 +1100<![CDATA[Bitcoin Rebounds After Volatile FOMC Event]]>https://www.stormrake.com/blogs/post/Bitcoin-Rebounds-After-Volatile-FOMC-Event
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As expected, the US Federal Reserve made no changes to interest rates this morning. Despite this widely anticipated decision, which had almost a 100% probability of no cut leading into the announcement, Bitcoin and the broader crypto market experienced significant volatility, beginning to decline within minutes of the news. Within the first 18 minutes, Bitcoin fell 1.43% to $101.3k before rebounding in anticipation of Powell’s speech.

At first, the market reaction wasn’t looking great. A sharp drop followed the expected no rate cut, but Powell's tone proved pivotal. Rather than a hawkish stance, he leaned dovish, signalling that policymakers are in no hurry to lower interest rates further. He emphasised the need for consistent inflation data before considering additional easing and expressed confidence in the current policy stance, citing a strong labour market and expectations of continued inflation progress.

Once the market detected the dovish tone, Bitcoin reversed course and began to rally, reaching a high of $104.7k just an hour later. This shift led to a sea of green across the crypto market. However, Bitcoin’s strength was not entirely mirrored by major altcoins…

The three largest altcoins—Ethereum, Solana, and Ripple—all followed Bitcoin’s rally post-FOMC but struggled to hold gains. Unlike Bitcoin, which is now almost $1,000 higher than yesterday, none of these projects managed to close or trade above their previous day's price levels. A disappointing outcome, but at least the market emerged from this major event relatively unscathed.

Meanwhile, strong projects like Ondo continued to impress, closing over 10% up yesterday. Even Sonic—a fundamentally great project that has underperformed price-wise—saw a 12% daily gain.

Stormrake Spotlight: Ethereum (ETH) ($3,000)

Ethereum has seen a volatile 24 hours, remaining within its accumulation zone after an attempted breakout was rejected at the top of the range. Now that the FOMC meeting is behind us and Bitcoin is positioned well, we can expect ETH to follow Bitcoin’s momentum. While it may not match Bitcoin in strength, ETH should see positive price action if Bitcoin continues to rally.

BTC/USD Key Levels and Price Action:

The bullish divergence played out perfectly as Bitcoin surged, attempting to break above the key $104k level. This move, fueled by Powell’s slightly dovish tone, marks Bitcoin’s second attempt at clearing this resistance. If BTC can consolidate around this level before reclaiming it, we could see another push towards all-time highs. However, if BTC faces a firm rejection, a move back towards $100k is likely.

For now, structure and momentum remain bullish unless Bitcoin falls below $101.4k. The overall trend is still strong, and with ETF inflows remaining positive, Bitcoin’s ability to hold above this critical level will be key in determining the next move.

BTC Total ETF Flows for 29 Jan: $ +102.2 million

(ETF flow data is sourced from https://farside.co.uk/btc/ and reflects figures at the time of writing.)

ETH/USD Key Levels and Price Action:

While Bitcoin challenges a key resistance level, Ethereum continues to struggle with its 55 EMA, having been rejected from it for the fifth time in the last three days. To regain bullish momentum, ETH must break through this moving average resistance. The good news is that ETH has been consistently printing higher lows, a positive sign that buyers are stepping in at higher price points.

If this trend continues, it should only be a matter of time before ETH breaks the 55 EMA and reclaims the $3,207 level. However, failure to do so could see further downside pressure, especially if Bitcoin struggles to hold its gains.

ETH Total ETF Flows for 29 Jan: $ - 19.7 million

(ETF flow data is sourced from https://farside.co.uk/eth/ and reflects figures at the time of writing.)
To receive the Morning Note in your inbox, subscribe here: https://stormrake.substack.com/

*All prices are denominated in USD unless stated otherwise*

Written by Alexandar Artis

Create a brokerage account today

Get Started

No Advice Warning 

The information in this newsletter is general only. It should not be taken as constituting professional advice from the author - Stormrake PTY LTD.
Stormrake is not a financial adviser and does not provide financial product advice. You should consider seeking independent legal, financial, taxation or other advice to check how the information relates to your unique circumstances. Stormrake is not liable for any loss caused, whether due to negligence or otherwise arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided directly or indirectly, by this newsletter.
 

Disclaimer 

All statements made in this newsletter are made in good faith and we believe they are accurate and reliable. Stormrake does not give any warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of information that is contained here, except insofar as any liability under statute cannot be excluded. Stormrake, its directors, employees and their representatives do not accept any liability for any error or omission in this newsletter or for any resulting loss or damage suffered by the recipient or any other person. Unless otherwise specified, copyright of information provided in this newsletter is owned by Stormrake. You may not alter or modify this information in any way, including the removal of this copyright notice.

Copyright © 2024 Stormrake Pty Ltd, All rights reserved
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