Bitcoin Hits the Brakes While Rate-Cut Bets Accelerate

Bitcoin gave us a nice push higher yesterday, however in early hours of trading this morning it’s started struggling yet again at the $113K price resistance. Gold kept up momentum yesterday to reach a local peak of $3,674, however it closed the day in the red giving back most of the day’s gains. With Silver still sideways waiting for a clearer direction, getting a small pullback and re-accumulation in precious metals here with looming macro-data uncertainty wouldn’t be out of the question.

Trump’s Truth Social gained some notable traction with a recent post overnight sharply criticising Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and the central bank’s broader independence. Trump argued that if the Fed had followed his policy recommendations back in early 2021, rates would have risen sooner and the current economic environment would look very different. He labeled the Fed “broken” and outdated, accusing Powell of incompetence for relying on lagging data and rigid frameworks.

Trump’s dismissal surrounding the position of the Fed’s independence is suggesting that protecting the institution’s autonomy means little if its policies are misguided. To bolster his critique, Trump cited market analysts Jay Hatfield and Greg Faranello, both of whom echoed the view that Powell was late to raise rates and is now dragging his feet in cutting them. Their commentary pointed to expectations of steep rate reductions ahead, possibly in the range of 50 to 100 basis points. The S&P500 and NASDAQ both closed in the green for the day in response with modest gains again < 1%, although the indices are ultimately still rangebound for the time being.

Bitcoin Bulls keep getting punished on these attempted moves higher on smaller timeframes. It’s clear that exhaustion is setting in, but the uncertainty surrounding the pending macro-data surely isn’t helping either. If selling keeps picking up momentum over the following days, it’s more likely current support won’t hold - alternatively; if we can hold major price support with the CPI and PPI over the coming days and ride out the volatility without losing too much ground, a solid relief rally might just be in order.

Stormrake Spotlight: Hedera (HBAR) ($0.227)

HBAR got a small push higher on the day and attempted to push past the MA 20 that we outlined in yesterday’s Morning Note, however as expected the resistance was too strong and the move failed. The Daily candle gave back exactly 3% on the wick, despite closing in the green on the daily. Clear signs that the market is hunting for stronger support below.

BTC/USD Key Levels and Price Action:

Bitcoin held the Higher Low we were predicting yesterday, however as expected the $113K also still remains too strong to blast through at this stage - resulting in a sell-off that made the 1hr timeframe lose it’s trend that it’s been building over the last few days. The Marginal Lower low will need hold and pump off here sooner-rather-than-later to stave off a prolonged bearish reversal over the coming days. It’s a great thing we told readers to wait for confirmation yesterday because last-minute price slamming like this can happen! Let’s see if the bulls are ready to defend the line here or have they rallied their efforts towards lower support…

BTC Total ETF Flows for 10 Sep: $ -146.3 million

*All prices are denominated in USD unless stated otherwise*

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