Crypto Cools as Bears Defend Yearly Open and Rate Cut Looms

06.12.25 09:22 PM By Stormrake

To receive the Morning Note in your inbox, subscribe here: https://stormrake.substack.com/
Bitcoin has dropped back below $90K as bears continue to defend the yearly open. It was a red session across the crypto market yesterday, with Bitcoin down nearly 3% and altcoins taking even heavier hits.

Risk-on sentiment is softening and shifting back toward equilibrium as investors prepare for next week’s interest rate decision. There is currently an 87% chance of a 25 bps cut. While markets are largely pricing it in, that does not mean the week ahead will be calm. Volatility is almost certain.

For the first time in five months, US consumer sentiment has improved. The metric surveys the public’s outlook on personal finances and the wider economy. A rise in sentiment is generally a positive signal and often comes before a lift in consumer spending, which puts more money into the system.

Following the recent FUD around Michael Saylor’s strategy after CEO Phong Le said they would consider selling Bitcoin as a last resort, MicroStrategy has responded. They have raised $1.44 billion and created a reserve to draw from for dividend obligations, which was the core concern. The company managed to raise 21 months’ worth of dividend obligations in just eight and a half days. This is a clear effort to push back against the speculation and prove their ability to raise capital even during a Bitcoin down cycle.

Stormrake Spotlight: Pax Gold (PAXG) ($4,213)

PAXG has seen nearly a week of sideways movement as it continues to consolidate. The next move is likely to be bullish. While gold markets are closed over the weekend, PAXG remains tradable which is one of its standout features.

BTC/USD Key Levels and Price Action:

Bitcoin has pulled back after failing to break above the yearly open. This has allowed bears to regain some control but the broader structure still leans bullish. We have a higher high in place and this could be forming a higher low if price can hold the key support at $88,888. If this level gives way then $85K becomes the next area to watch.

BTC Total ETF Flows for 5 Dec: $ + 60.0 million

(ETF flow data is sourced from https://farside.co.uk/btc/ and reflects figures at the time of writing.)
To receive the Morning Note in your inbox, subscribe here: https://stormrake.substack.com/

*All prices are denominated in USD unless stated otherwise*

Written by Alexandar Artis

Create a brokerage account today

No Advice Warning 

The information in this newsletter is general only. It should not be taken as constituting professional advice from the author - Stormrake PTY LTD.
Stormrake is not a financial adviser and does not provide financial product advice. You should consider seeking independent legal, financial, taxation or other advice to check how the information relates to your unique circumstances. Stormrake is not liable for any loss caused, whether due to negligence or otherwise arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided directly or indirectly, by this newsletter.
 

Disclaimer 

All statements made in this newsletter are made in good faith and we believe they are accurate and reliable. Stormrake does not give any warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of information that is contained here, except insofar as any liability under statute cannot be excluded. Stormrake, its directors, employees and their representatives do not accept any liability for any error or omission in this newsletter or for any resulting loss or damage suffered by the recipient or any other person. Unless otherwise specified, copyright of information provided in this newsletter is owned by Stormrake. You may not alter or modify this information in any way, including the removal of this copyright notice.

Copyright © 2024 Stormrake Pty Ltd, All rights reserved

Stormrake