‘Uptober’ Fizzles as October Closes Red

02.11.25 09:18 AM By Stormrake

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October had all the promise of a strong month. ‘Uptober’ had everything lined up for new all-time highs and bullish continuation. While that played out briefly with a new high at $126K, the excitement was short lived. A major liquidation event sent Bitcoin lower and the rest of the month struggled to regain any momentum for the bulls.

Traditional indices all closed higher to end the month. Gold dipped slightly but remains above $4,000. The US Dollar has now seen three straight days of buying following Powell’s hawkish comments.

Bitcoin bounced yesterday, up just over 1%, but still ended the month in the red. A nearly 4% drop puts a dampener on the ‘Uptober’ narrative.

We now look to November, which historically brings strong returns with the average move sitting at 40.5%. While US-China trade talks have eased some tensions, uncertainty still hangs over markets with interest rate policy and inflation in focus after Powell’s recent hawkish stance. The US government shutdown has now lasted over 30 days, making it the second longest on record. Many estimate it could stretch another two weeks, which would make it the longest ever. With no key data being released during the shutdown, policymakers are essentially flying blind. The sooner it ends, the better.

Stormrake Spotlight: Hyperliquid (HYPE) ($43.49)

HYPE closed its second consecutive red day despite Bitcoin pushing higher. It failed to break through the key $50 level and appears to be seeing some short-term profit taking. No cause for concern though. Price action still looks constructive and this area is shaping up to be a solid accumulation zone ahead of what could be the next leg up. HYPE remains supported by the key moving averages and is likely forming a higher low.

BTC/USD Key Levels and Price Action:

Bitcoin is currently trading around the key $109.5K level after bouncing from demand yesterday. Both major moving averages are also sitting at this level, making it a key area to watch. If Bitcoin can break and hold above, bulls could gain the upper hand again. If not, we could see the bears tighten their grip as the weekend unfolds.

BTC Total ETF Flows for 31 Oct: $ -29.9 million

(ETF flow data is sourced from https://farside.co.uk/btc/ and reflects figures at the time of writing.)
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*All prices are denominated in USD unless stated otherwise*

Written by Alexandar Artis

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