Bitcoin Breaks Down as Russia Stokes Global Tensions

23.06.25 07:27 AM By Stormrake

To receive the Morning Note in your inbox, subscribe here: https://stormrake.substack.com/
The past 24 hours have been a ride for Bitcoin and the broader crypto markets. Bitcoin finally broke out, reclaiming $106K with conviction. Altcoins followed suit — the screen was green. But it was short-lived. As the clock struck midnight, the market turned. Bitcoin dropped nearly 2% within the hour, then continued to cascade for several hours, hitting a low of $102.3K — a sharp 4% reversal from the local high in just nine hours.

Why? More geopolitical drama — this time, from Russia.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov issued a stark warning to the West, stating: “Those who are speaking about (killing Khamenei), they should keep it in mind. They will open Pandora’s box.” He also called any regime change in Iran “unacceptable.” These comments followed US statements suggesting a decision will be made in the next two weeks on whether to get directly involved in the ongoing conflict. Trump, for his part, has already mentioned that Khamenei “only remains alive because Trump is letting him.” Peskov went further, acknowledging the growing risk of escalation: “The situation is extremely tense and is dangerous not only for the region but globally.”

With major powers teetering on the edge of direct involvement, markets are growing increasingly cautious. Risk-off assets surged following Peskov’s remarks and will likely continue to find support. Meanwhile, risk-on assets like crypto remain on edge — they only need the faintest spark to sell off further.

Stormrake Spotlight: Hyperliquid (HYPE) ($34.26)

HYPE has dropped nearly 10% over the last 24 hours and is now trading within the key support zone we highlighted. It's down 25% over the past four days since its failed breakout attempt — a sharp correction. HYPE is currently teetering on the edge of losing its bullish structure. A clean break below this range would confirm that bulls have lost control of the trend.

BTC/USD Key Levels and Price Action:

Bitcoin did break out of the symmetrical triangle we identified yesterday — but only briefly. The move was swiftly undone by fresh geopolitical headlines, which dragged BTC back below the key $104K support. Price is now looking to consolidate and potentially confirm a sustained move beneath this level. If that happens, the bears will take full control of both structure and momentum.

There’s a confluence of CPR levels between $102.6K and $104K, which may act as a short-term consolidation zone. But make no mistake: the path of least resistance currently points back to $100K.

BTC Total ETF Flows for 20 Jun: $ - 40.5 million

(ETF flow data is sourced from https://farside.co.uk/btc/ and reflects figures at the time of writing.)
To receive the Morning Note in your inbox, subscribe here: https://stormrake.substack.com/

*All prices are denominated in USD unless stated otherwise*

Written by Alexandar Artis

Create a brokerage account today

No Advice Warning 

The information in this newsletter is general only. It should not be taken as constituting professional advice from the author - Stormrake PTY LTD.
Stormrake is not a financial adviser and does not provide financial product advice. You should consider seeking independent legal, financial, taxation or other advice to check how the information relates to your unique circumstances. Stormrake is not liable for any loss caused, whether due to negligence or otherwise arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided directly or indirectly, by this newsletter.
 

Disclaimer 

All statements made in this newsletter are made in good faith and we believe they are accurate and reliable. Stormrake does not give any warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of information that is contained here, except insofar as any liability under statute cannot be excluded. Stormrake, its directors, employees and their representatives do not accept any liability for any error or omission in this newsletter or for any resulting loss or damage suffered by the recipient or any other person. Unless otherwise specified, copyright of information provided in this newsletter is owned by Stormrake. You may not alter or modify this information in any way, including the removal of this copyright notice.

Copyright © 2024 Stormrake Pty Ltd, All rights reserved

Stormrake