Bitcoin Creeping Higher on Weak U.S. Job Data

10.09.25 01:33 AM By Jiuyu

To receive the Morning Note in your inbox, subscribe here: https://stormrake.substack.com/

Bitcoin initially took well to the news of lower than expected NFP Data, however this rally like most rallies since August 14th was short-lived. Gold on the other hand continues to act as a safe-haven hedge, printing fresh all-time highs again with a strong daily close, along with Silver still largely following in tandem. With Silver now hitting strong Monthly resistance at $41, we’ll need to pay close attention to see if any price pullback here is short-lived before pushing higher and trying to takeout the 2011 All Time Highs; or perhaps a somewhat steeper correction may be needed first before trying to break the $50 mark.


Similar to Bitcoin, both the S&P500 and NASDAQ initially took well to the news of weak US Job data, however those gains we’re quickly given back to the market - and then some. Both indices respectively took a 1.37% and 1.67% hit in the trading hours that followed after the news broke, although both are still holding price support levels and are seeing a modest bounce as of this moment despite the weekend sell-off. Markets ultimately remain uncertain with this type of volatility, with no clear short-term trend direction for the time being.


While Tariff uncertainty keeps rocking the boat, the good news is that the U.S. and Japan has come to an agreement on automotive imports. Trump signed an Executive Order over the weekend to reduce imports to 15%, cementing the July agreement between both parties. In return, Japan has committed to investing $550 Billion in the U.S. economy further solidifying cooperation between the two nations.


If price can keep the momentum up without giving too many of the intra-day gains away, it’s possible that the Risk-on rotation could be back, although moves higher need to see the bulls follow-through with continued buying in order to confirm a trend reversal back up in the short-term. Macro data keeps pointing to a FED rate cut mid-September; ultimately being a good thing for Risk-on assets long term. Until then, we’re looking for a clean and sustained push higher to boost market confidence short-term so that we can see a positive-sentiment momentum shift to get those juicy late-cycle pumps.


Stormrake Spotlight: Hedera (HBAR) ($0.218)

HBAR followed through to the downside with it’s bearish momentum cross as we predicted despite trying to get a pump with BTC, giving away a further 3% of it’s push into the previous support. With short-term trend confirmed bearish and rejecting off it’s previous support lows, the bears seem to have control until it can re-gain trend.

BTC/USD Key Levels and Price Action:

Bitcoin briefly pushed above $112K over the weekend, although it couldn’t sustain the Bullish momentum, giving way to a 2.80% correction shortly after. Buyers have stepped in again at $110,100, however again - BTC fails to push through $111,500. After falling back into our range between $109.5K and $112K, it’s clear more consolidation is required before deciding which way we go in the near future.

BTC Total ETF Flows for 5 Sep: $ - 160.1 million

(ETF flow data is sourced from https://farside.co.uk/btc/ and reflects figures at the time of writing.)
To receive the Morning Note in your inbox, subscribe here: https://stormrake.substack.com/

*All prices are denominated in USD unless stated otherwise*

Written by James Ryan

Create a brokerage account today

No Advice Warning 

The information in this newsletter is general only. It should not be taken as constituting professional advice from the author - Stormrake PTY LTD.
Stormrake is not a financial adviser and does not provide financial product advice. You should consider seeking independent legal, financial, taxation or other advice to check how the information relates to your unique circumstances. Stormrake is not liable for any loss caused, whether due to negligence or otherwise arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided directly or indirectly, by this newsletter.
 

Disclaimer 

All statements made in this newsletter are made in good faith and we believe they are accurate and reliable. Stormrake does not give any warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of information that is contained here, except insofar as any liability under statute cannot be excluded. Stormrake, its directors, employees and their representatives do not accept any liability for any error or omission in this newsletter or for any resulting loss or damage suffered by the recipient or any other person. Unless otherwise specified, copyright of information provided in this newsletter is owned by Stormrake. You may not alter or modify this information in any way, including the removal of this copyright notice.

Copyright © 2024 Stormrake Pty Ltd, All rights reserved

Jiuyu