Ceasefire Relief Lifts Markets as Risk Sentiment Rotates Back In

25.06.25 06:23 AM By Stormrake

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Markets have continued to push higher following the ceasefire, but the resolution has not come without criticism, particularly from Donald Trump. The US President voiced his disapproval of both Israel and Iran in his usual blunt style.

The ceasefire agreement gave each side a window to de-escalate. Israel had until the 24th hour and Iran until the 12th hour to halt attacks. In theory, this meant a full stop to hostilities beyond those deadlines. However, despite agreeing to the terms, both parties continued to launch strikes. The situation escalated to the point where Trump took to Truth Social, urging Israel: “DO NOT DROP THOSE BOMBS,” even telling them to turn their planes around, stating that any further strike would be a violation. He later suggested they would conduct a “friendly plane wave” to Iran.

But his dissatisfaction did not stop there. In a short interview clip now circulating online, Trump summed up the chaos in his own words:
‘They don’t know what the … they’re doing'.

A colourful summary, but regardless of opinions, the war now appears to be behind us and the markets are responding accordingly. The S&P500 just closed its strongest day since 21 February and is now less than 1% away from its all-time high. The Nasdaq is even closer, sitting just 0.30% from the record it set earlier this year.

While Bitcoin has not matched the momentum of equities, it remains green and bullish. It is up nearly 8% from the lows seen just two days ago, though still underperforming the S&P and Nasdaq over the last 24 hours.

The broader market has clearly moved away from the risk-off sentiment. Gold is down over 3% in just over a week and crude oil has plunged to $65, losing 15% in two days. That kind of price action reflects a major capital rotation. Typically, when transitioning back into a risk-on environment, money first flows from defensive assets into traditional risk assets like equities, before rotating into more ‘speculative’ markets such as Bitcoin and altcoins.

We have already seen the first phase of this rotation, with capital moving out of gold and oil and into the S&P and Nasdaq. If that trend continues, it is only a matter of time before capital flows into the crypto space, pushing Bitcoin back toward all-time highs and dragging altcoins along with it.

Stormrake Spotlight: Hyperliquid (HYPE) ($37.34)

Despite a green day across most of the crypto market, HYPE pulled back 2.22%. This is a relatively healthy correction, especially after a three-day rally of nearly 25%. A normal retracement should be welcomed here, particularly one that holds bullish structure.

Price remains above the 21EMA, a key signal that the trend is still in favour of the bulls. If this momentum continues, we can expect a move toward the CPR resistance at $42 in the coming week.

BTC/USD Key Levels and Price Action:

Bitcoin is back above $106K and consolidating. It was a relatively slow session by Bitcoin’s standards, rising just 0.6%, but price action remains constructive. The next area of interest sits at $109.5K, where resistance is expected. If this level breaks, the path toward all-time highs reopens.

BTC Total ETF Flows for 24 Jun: $ + 57.3 million

(ETF flow data is sourced from https://farside.co.uk/btc/ and reflects figures at the time of writing.)
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*All prices are denominated in USD unless stated otherwise*

Written by Alexandar Artis

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