Flows Return as Bulls Take Control

28.11.25 02:36 AM By Stormrake

To receive the Morning Note in your inbox, subscribe here: https://stormrake.substack.com/
Risk on flows are reentering the space, boosted by growing hopes of rate cuts at the upcoming Fed meeting in a couple of weeks. Bitcoin has mirrored the broader risk appetite overnight, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq pushing higher and now knocking on the door of fresh all time highs. While Bitcoin itself remains some distance from reclaiming its own ATH, the cautiously bullish tone is improving and optimism is gradually returning to the market.

Overnight, US unemployment claims came in lower than expected. As a result, Treasury yields have fallen and the US dollar has softened. This is a classic signal that rate cuts may be just around the corner, and it is fuelling the current bounce across risk assets.

Now back above $90K and up nearly 12% in just five days, bulls have capitalised on the recent pause in bearish momentum. While several metrics still suggest lower prices are possible, this macro driven recovery and the potential for rate cuts could provide enough fuel for bulls to push higher and begin invalidating some of the more extreme bearish signals. Time will tell.

Bitcoin has broken through the key battleground at $88,888 and now looks to flip the year back in favour of the bulls, aiming to turn green year to date once again. With rate cuts likely in under two weeks and the scheduled end of quantitative tightening in the US on 1 December, there is plenty of fuel left in the tank. The question now is can the bulls take it back or will the bears prove too strong.

Stormrake Spotlight: Pax Gold (PAXG) ($4,163)

PAXG is up nearly 1% and looks set to form a new higher high, potentially breaking out of its recent neutral structure. A successful move above this level would shift momentum back to the bulls and could see it grind higher over the next month. However, failure to post a higher high may see price drift back below the $4,000 mark.

BTC/USD Key Levels and Price Action:

Bitcoin has cleared all key moving averages and reclaimed the important $88,888 level. Bulls are in control in the short term, with a green YTD in sight if price can push above $93.5K.

BTC Total ETF Flows for 26 Oct: (data not available at the time of writing)

(ETF flow data is sourced from https://farside.co.uk/btc/ and reflects figures at the time of writing.)
To receive the Morning Note in your inbox, subscribe here: https://stormrake.substack.com/

*All prices are denominated in USD unless stated otherwise*

Written by Alexandar Artis

Create a brokerage account today

No Advice Warning 

The information in this newsletter is general only. It should not be taken as constituting professional advice from the author - Stormrake PTY LTD.
Stormrake is not a financial adviser and does not provide financial product advice. You should consider seeking independent legal, financial, taxation or other advice to check how the information relates to your unique circumstances. Stormrake is not liable for any loss caused, whether due to negligence or otherwise arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided directly or indirectly, by this newsletter.
 

Disclaimer 

All statements made in this newsletter are made in good faith and we believe they are accurate and reliable. Stormrake does not give any warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of information that is contained here, except insofar as any liability under statute cannot be excluded. Stormrake, its directors, employees and their representatives do not accept any liability for any error or omission in this newsletter or for any resulting loss or damage suffered by the recipient or any other person. Unless otherwise specified, copyright of information provided in this newsletter is owned by Stormrake. You may not alter or modify this information in any way, including the removal of this copyright notice.

Copyright © 2024 Stormrake Pty Ltd, All rights reserved

Stormrake