The FOMC meeting happened earlier this morning and brought with it a rate hike of 50bps. This has officially lifted the US interest rate over the US 10y bond yield, a signal that precedes a pivot in FED policy but also precedes global recessions. 

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Bitcoin has been stuck in a near 3% range for the entire month of December, this tight range is set to be broken as the macro olympics commence. This includes headline inflation print out of the US and interest rate decisions from the BoE, the FED and the ECB. 

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Despite a savage bear market with valuations being decimated and severe levels of fraud and deception being exposed, Layer 2 solutions such as Arbitrum and Optimism keep on growing.

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As we continue to trade our way through a brutal 2022, the US bond market shows no remorse and provides the strongest signal that a deep global recession is imminent. Today we dissect how real this signal can be and what risks are associated with its confirmation.

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With the collapse of FTX now somewhat digested, the crypto markets have continued to chug along and is showing signs of life. On-Chain activity across DefI apps such as Uniswap and GMX have increased substantially as they soak up demand from crypto traders.  

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Bitcoin and the wider crypto market have been absolutely ravaged from the FTX collapse fallout. In this huge washout, the entire industry needs to take a step back and assess what it truly values. Back to basics. Back to Bitcoin. Back to Ethereum. Back to self-custody.

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There are only two meetings left in the 2022 FOMC calendar. Today will provide a signal whether there will be any relief in 2022 for risk assets. Should we get a light rate hike, a Christmas rally would definitely be on the cards.

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The world irrevocably changed 14 years ago today with the publication of the Bitcoin Whitepaper. A revolution that spans finance, economics, politics has created the purest form of money the world has ever seen.

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Just over $328M USD worth of short liquidations got triggered by Bitcoin moving over $20,000. Across other crypto assets over $700M worth of short liquidations has been doled out to the bears. Let's dive in and see where this short squeeze can take us. 

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Monday morning in Asia has created a 'max bidding' environment where everything from equity futures, commodities and of course crypto has made a substantial run higher. 

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Layer 2s (L2) are scaling solutions built on top of the Ethereum network. With an Arbitrum airdrop speculated to happen soon, they are really starting to heat up as they compete for Total Value Locked (TVL) in a bear market.

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Crypto market volatility remains unusually subdued, however this doesn't mean we don't have trades available to us. We're currently watching a potential Arbitrum airdrop and the launch of a new chain called Aptos. 

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Whilst bonds get routed and equities continue to show massive weakness, Bitcoin remains compressed. This feels like a tightly wound coil ready to burst and in today's Morning Note we analyse the impact this can have on the crypto markets. 

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Despite incredible intra-day volatility across crypto and equity markets, nothing has actually happened and we remain locked in at key levels. Let's see what catalysts can actually provide the markets with some direction.

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Volatility across Bitcoin and the wider crypto space has not only been subdued but is virtually non-existent. Today's Morning Note will examine how long this can last and what catalysts can bring it back up.

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Earlier this morning the Binance Smart Chain was hacked for over $600M USD. As this is a developing story, we will get you up to speed and share new insights as we learn more.

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