The Arbitrum Airdrop has finally been confirmed and with it a whole flurry of expectations and speculation as to what will happen next. We here at Stormrake have been anticipating this for some time now and had informed our clients as early as mid October 2022 to prepare for this incredible opportun...

Traders could be forgiven for having whiplash over the past week as we've seen a monumental shift in markets on both the macro level and specific (banking & crypto) markets.

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There is a new narrative emerging amongst global investors as many are wondering who will be the first to bring in the new liquidity fortunes. This has set in motion an East vs West divide and those who are trying to be early are positioning their bets accordingly.

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Two key metrics have started to show signs of growth amidst the recent resurgence in digital assets. Both Ethereum TVL and USDT market cap have reclaimed key levels and today we dive into the implications for the wider crypto markets. 

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With the raging success of ChatGPT and stable diffusion, AI has been burst into the cultural zeitgeist in 2023. As always, when creativity and speculation collide, there will be a cross section of crypto tokens that manifest themselves as top performers within the crypto sphere.

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Armed with learnings from a brutal 2022, we head into 2023 with cautious optimism. Whilst we will temper our enthusiasm, we anticipate a resurgence in crypto assets and renewed interest in blockchain applications.

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The FOMC meeting happened earlier this morning and brought with it a rate hike of 50bps. This has officially lifted the US interest rate over the US 10y bond yield, a signal that precedes a pivot in FED policy but also precedes global recessions. 

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US YoY inflation data came 20 bps under expectations for a print of 7.1% whilst core inflation came in at an even 6%. This gave the markets the impetuous for a move to the upside.
Now all eyes are set on the FOMC, where a reduced rate hike will cause a strong market rally.

Earlier this evening, Bahamian authorities arrested Samuel Bankman-Fried at the request of the U.S. Government, based on a sealed indictment filed by the SDNY.  This development should mark the beginning of the end for the FTX saga.

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Bitcoin has been stuck in a near 3% range for the entire month of December, this tight range is set to be broken as the macro olympics commence. This includes headline inflation print out of the US and interest rate decisions from the BoE, the FED and the ECB. 

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Despite a savage bear market with valuations being decimated and severe levels of fraud and deception being exposed, Layer 2 solutions such as Arbitrum and Optimism keep on growing.

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As we continue to trade our way through a brutal 2022, the US bond market shows no remorse and provides the strongest signal that a deep global recession is imminent. Today we dissect how real this signal can be and what risks are associated with its confirmation.

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